FBThe Fight Brief
WelterweightMain Card · 8:00 PM ET

Ty Miller vs. Billy Ray Goff

UFC Fight Night · August 8, 2026 · Meta Apex

OddsTy Miller -405·Billy Ray Goff +330(DraftKings)

What kind of fight is this?Striker vs. striker firefightFinish likelihood: High

Both men land and absorb strikes at a heavy clip, and Goff fights like someone with nothing to lose - because right now he doesn't. That aggression plays right into Miller's counters and length. Expect Goff to have moments early when he closes distance, but the reach gap and Miller's cleaner boxing should take over as the fight wears on. Miller by TKO in the second or third round, staying unbeaten.

The Matchup

Ty Miller
Rangy Boxer
BoxingVolumeLength
GrapplingStriking
Billy Ray Goff
Pressure Brawler
KO PowerPressureHigh Output
GrapplingStriking

Two of the highest-output strikers on the card get matched up, and the tale of the tape tells the story: Miller has four inches of height and five inches of reach on Goff. Miller wants to stay long and pile up boxing combinations from the outside; Goff has to walk through fire to get inside where his knockout power lives. Goff's all-offense style has left him hittable, and Miller just showed at UFC 324 that he finishes when opponents wilt. Neither man is a submission threat, so this one lives on the feet from bell to bell.

Tale of the Tape

Ty MillerBilly Ray Goff
7-0Record9-4
26Age28
6'2"Height5'10"
77.5"Reach72.5"
OrthodoxStanceSwitch
United StatesCountryUnited States
FIT NHBTeam

The Numbers

Career UFC averages. Red bar = statistical edge.

Ty MillerBilly Ray Goff
7.16Sig. strikes landed / min (volume)7.51
39%Striking accuracy (precision)46%
4.65Sig. strikes absorbed / min (lower is better)5.02
65%Striking defense (strikes avoided)59%
0Takedowns / 15 min (wrestling offense)1.75
Takedown accuracy
75%Takedown defense67%
0Submission attempts / 15 min0

Ty Miller

Thriller

Ty "Thriller" Miller is an undefeated 26-year-old welterweight out of the famed FIT NHB gym in Albuquerque. At 6-foot-2 with a 77.5-inch reach, he is unusually long for the division and fights behind a high-volume boxing attack. He earned his UFC contract with a decision win on Dana White's Contender Series in 2025, then announced himself by stopping Adam Fugitt with a right hook and knee in the first round at UFC 324. This is only his third UFC appearance, and the hype around him is building fast.

How they win
3 KO/TKO0 SUB4 DEC
Last 3 fights
  • WAdam Fugitt · TKO (right hook and knee)UFC 324 · January 24, 2026
  • WJimmy Drago · Decision (unanimous)Dana White's Contender Series · August 12, 2025
  • NCArthur Barros · No ContestLFA 198 · December 6, 2024

Billy Ray Goff

Billy Ray Goff is a Connecticut-born brawler who won his UFC debut by first-round TKO over Yusaku Kinoshita in Singapore in 2023. Seven of his nine career wins have come by knockout, and he throws serious volume - over seven significant strikes landed per minute. The last two years have been rough, though: a decision loss to Trey Waters and a first-round guillotine loss to Ramiz Brahimaj have put him on a two-fight skid. At 28, he badly needs a win here to keep his roster spot, which usually makes fighters like him even more dangerous.

How they win
7 KO/TKO0 SUB2 DEC
Last 3 fights
  • LRamiz Brahimaj · Submission (guillotine choke)UFC on ESPN · May 31, 2025
  • LTrey Waters · Decision (unanimous)UFC on ESPN · May 11, 2024
  • WYusaku Kinoshita · KO/TKOUFC Fight Night · August 26, 2023