Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara
UFC Fight Night · August 8, 2026 · Meta Apex
OddsAmanda Lemos +228·Alexia Thainara -277(DraftKings)
The recent film is hard to ignore: Suarez and Robertson both dragged Lemos into deep water and won comfortably, and Thainara is arguably a better pure grappler than Robertson. Expect early danger for Thainara on the feet, followed by chain wrestling into dominant positions once she closes distance. Lemos's power and 55 percent accuracy keep her live for a knockout at any moment, but her output has dipped in recent fights. Thainara by submission or grinding decision is the most probable path, with her back-take game the biggest threat as Lemos scrambles.
The Matchup
This is the classic striker-versus-grappler setup, and it is also a ranked crossroads fight between Brazilians. Lemos has lost two straight to grapplers who took her down and kept her there, which is exactly the blueprint Thainara lives on. Thainara averages more than four takedowns per 15 minutes and has never been taken down in the UFC, while Lemos defends takedowns at just 63 percent. The flip side: Thainara has never faced anyone who hits close to as hard as Lemos, and one clean southpaw counter can change everything. Lemos likely has a round or less to land it before the grappling exchanges start piling up.
Tale of the Tape
| Amanda Lemos | Alexia Thainara | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-6-1 | Record | 14-1 |
| 39 | Age | 30 |
| 5'4" | Height | 5'4" |
| 65" | Reach | 67" |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| Brazil | Country | Brazil |
| Marajo Brothers Team | Team | Ribas Family |
The Numbers
Career UFC averages. Red bar = statistical edge.
Amanda Lemos
“Amandinha”
Amanda Lemos is a Brazilian veteran from Belem who challenged for the strawweight title against Zhang Weili in 2023. She is one of the hardest hitters in the division, with more than half of her 15 wins coming by knockout. Now 39, she has dropped back-to-back decisions to grapplers Tatiana Suarez and Gillian Robertson, both of whom smothered her on the mat. She still owns wins over names like Mackenzie Dern, Marina Rodriguez and Iasmin Lucindo, and remains dangerous every second the fight stays standing.
- LGillian Robertson · Decision (unanimous)UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · March 14, 2026
- LTatiana Suarez · Decision (unanimous)UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · September 13, 2025
- WIasmin Lucindo · Decision (unanimous)UFC 313 · March 8, 2025
Alexia Thainara
“Burguesinha”
Alexia Thainara is a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt riding a 12-fight win streak, with eight of her 14 wins coming by submission. She earned her UFC deal on the 2024 Contender Series, then announced herself by choking out Molly McCann in the first round of her short-notice debut. Since then she has outworked Loma Lookboonmee and Bruna Brasil with relentless takedowns and top control, going 3-0 inside the Octagon. Training with the Ribas Family academy, she is climbing the strawweight rankings fast and has never been taken down in the UFC.
- WBruna Brasil · Decision (unanimous)UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · March 28, 2026
- WLoma Lookboonmee · Decision (unanimous)UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · September 27, 2025
- WMolly McCann · Submission (rear-naked choke)UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · March 22, 2025